forum.effectivealtruism.org/s/vSAFjmWsfbMrTonpq/p/q36uhfREa98tec5XM
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deliberation ladder, which would be a sequence of crucial considerations regarding the same high-level subgoal, where the considerations hold in opposing directions.
So a crucial consideration is a consideration such that if it were taken into account, it would overturn the conclusions we would otherwise reach about how we should direct our efforts, or an idea or argument that might possibly reveal the need not just for some minor course adjustment in our practical endeavors, but a major change of direction or priority.
a crucial consideration component will be an argument, idea, or datum which, while not on its own amounting to a crucial consideration, seems to have a substantial probability of maybe being able to serve a central role within a crucial consideration.
serious preparation will begin only after a massive project is already underway to develop nanotechnology. Only then will people take the prospect seriously.
Most of what the utilitarian preference cares about is stuff that we have no familiarity with
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